Sadiq: “If the pitch offers spin, Pakistan will win the 3rd Test”

Preview of the 3rd Test Match: Pakistan vs England

As the 2024 Test series between Pakistan and England reaches its climax, cricket fans are eagerly anticipating the 3rd Test match at Rawalpindi. With the series levelled 1-1, both teams have much at stake. This blog explores the key insights shared by cricket experts Saj Sadiq, of Pak Passion and Wisden, and Qasim Sheikh on the Sheikhy’s Podcast, providing a detailed preview of what lies ahead for this exciting decider.

Pakistan’s Turnaround and Selection Surprises

Heading into the series, Pakistan appeared to be on the back foot after a dismal first Test performance. According to Saj Sadiq, “I thought it was going to be 3-0 to England,” a sentiment echoed by many cricket analysts. However, a combination of quick decision-making and strategic changes from Pakistan’s selectors has shifted the balance. “They had to take a dramatic U-turn, change the plan and focus,” remarked Saj, as Pakistan came back strong to level the series in the second Test. This unexpected victory has set the stage for a thrilling final encounter.

One of the talking points was Pakistan’s bold selection choices, particularly the dropping of big names. Saj admitted, “I was surprised they dropped Babar Azam,” but he acknowledged that it might have been a necessary decision, given Babar’s recent form. “He doesn’t look 100% fit… and technically he doesn’t look as sound as he used to,” said Saj. These decisions were described as “bold” by both Saj and Qasim, who lauded Pakistan’s willingness to make tough calls, stating, “They’ve upset the apple cart, and kudos to them, it worked.”

Challenges and Opportunities for Pakistan

As Pakistan prepares for the 3rd Test, the composition of their playing XI will be crucial. A major question mark hovers over their bowling attack. Saj expressed concerns about the fitness of Pakistan’s pace bowlers, specifically naming Shaheen Afridi and Naseem Shah. “Shaheen’s pace has dropped, and you’ve got to question his fitness levels,” he stated, emphasising the need for fresh, fit bowlers. He suggested Mir Hamza as a key figure to watch, describing him as a seasoned bowler who could be pivotal for Pakistan’s success.

When it comes to the pitch in Rawalpindi, much speculation surrounds how it will behave. Saj predicts, “If the pitch offers spin, Pakistan will win,” given their strong spin-bowling options. However, if the pitch is more batting-friendly or conducive to seamers, England could have the upper hand. This prediction was backed by Qasim, who mentioned that “England will come hard to Pakistan, especially at Rawalpindi where it’s going to be a different type of surface.”

Photo: IMAGO

England’s Strategy: Stick with “Bazball”

On the English side, all eyes are on their aggressive approach, often dubbed “Bazball,” although head coach Brendon McCullum reportedly dislikes the term. England’s aggressive batting strategy has paid dividends in recent matches, and Saj believes they are unlikely to change their approach. “They only know one way,” he remarked, suggesting that England will continue to play attacking cricket regardless of the conditions.

When it comes to England’s bowling lineup, Saj anticipates some changes. “They might swap the Pacers around, maybe bring back Anderson, and drop Rehan Ahmed for another seamer,” he suggested. However, the core of England’s team remains solid, and their confidence is high following some commanding performances, especially from players like Harry Brook, who Saj highlighted as an example of England’s focus on first-class cricket as a foundation for international success.

A Series Decider to Watch

The stakes couldn’t be higher as Pakistan and England head into the final Test. Pakistan will rely heavily on their spin attack and hope that players like Abrar Ahmed and Naseem Shah step up once again. For England, maintaining their aggressive approach while making tactical bowling changes could be key to securing victory.

As Saj aptly summed it up, “With Pakistan, you just don’t know which team is going to turn up.” However, if Pakistan wins the toss and the pitch favours spin, the home side could very well clinch the series.

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